Meeting Dashboard – Devonport, Sunday 17 September

14 / 09 / 2017

Colin McNiff’s Top 4 tips are indicated by red stars with four being his top pick and four gold stars the best bet of the meeting. Find these under ‘Col’s Top 4′:

 = top pick of the race

 = Best Bets of the meeting: WILLBY RULES (R5, No.2), ROBBO THE BOLD (R6, No.1)

Tristan Heffernan’s Staking Strategy provides suggested bets for all thoroughbred meetings. The suggested bets are in units, so punters can decide the cost of a unit to suit their budget (e.g.  1 unit = $1). Find these under the heading ‘Staking Strategy’.

Race 1 - 12:53 Birdcage Tavern Maiden (1000 METRES) Times displayed in local time of Race Meeting

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Race 1 –  Birdcage Tavern Maiden (1000 METRES)

Big field here but there aren’t too many genuine speedsters like you may expect. Look for Bonjour Belle, Woohoo and possibly Regal Red to contest the lead, but the opportunity is there for any horse to take up a forward position if they begin well.

Just Suzie (5) caught the eye at her first Tasmanian run, flashing home from the back here over 900m when 2nd behind Nordic Thunder. Extra distance looks in her favour and draws well if she happens to begin a bit better this time. Will need luck if back in the field again but worth noting she was able to lead at her second Victorian start. If she can repeat her first-up run she will be hard to beat.

General Sussex (1) is a very interesting runner, having his first run for Leanne Gaffney after racing in Victoria for Jason Warren. Started his career in New Zealand and was short in betting in all three Victorian runs where he ran well despite doing things wrong. Hasn’t raced since February 2016 and all his form is over slightly further but Maskiell is a positive booking. Big watch on betting and while he will get better as the distances get longer, he may be good enough to show up fresh from the inside gate.

J’nine’s Delight (12) also ran home well first-up behind Nordic Thunder, finishing 3rd and only a half-length behind Just Suzie. Extra trip suits and Carr sticks with her, but the wide barrier looks a major obstacle. Needs luck in running but first-up run was good enough to feature if she gets it.

Woohoo (9) is a speedy type who stuck on well last time after racing wide when 4th behind Nordic Thunder. Going up to 1000m looks a negative but her last run over this trip was much better than earlier in her prep. Outside draw can be tricky but if she begins well she may be able to get across and settle in the first couple. The last bit can find her out but expect her to finish around the money.

Kathonious (10) is a debutant with Adam Trinder with stable apprentice Chris Graham aboard. Was slow out in his trial but made good ground under a hold. Looks a horse with a future off that effort but not sure how well suited he is at 1000m. Definite watch on betting and must be respected if the money comes.
Next best Bonjour Belle (4) (speedy type who should be in the race from inside draw and is usually somewhere around the mark).

Verdict: Just Suzie (5) was very good first-up and looks worth following this time around.

STAKING STRATEGY: 3 units to win on Just Suzie (5).

 

No Last 10 Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight Staking Strategy Colin’s Top 4
1 428x253x GENERAL SUSSEX Leanne Gaffney Jason Maskiell 1 58.5kg  
2 9 MONTY ZUMA Michael Trinder Brendon McCoull 2 58.5kg  
3 YOUNG WARLOCK Shirley Berger Grant Challinger 3 58.5kg
4 3x924x2547 BONJOUR BELLE Cameron Thompson Ismail Toker 4 56.5kg
5 69×2 JUST SUZIE Kelvin Southey Troy Baker 6 56.5kg  3 WIN  
6 30x699x5 PEREZ Rhonda Mangan Rhonda Mangan 12 56.5kg
7 784×6 SOUTHERN BELLE Shirley Berger Sherry Barr 11 56.5kg
8 50x WE’LL GET BY Andrew Roach Shuji Amano 15 56.5kg
9 4359×76254 WOOHOO Leon, Dean & Trent Wells Teagan Voorham 14 56.5kg
10 KATHONIOUS Adam Trinder Chris Graham 10 56kg
11 9x REGAL RED Angela Brakey Daniel Ganderton 8 56kg
12 8×3 J’NINE’S DELIGHT Adam Trinder Sigrid Carr 13 54kg  
13 0x SAINT DARELLA Cameron Thompson Hayley McCarthy 5 54kg
14 40×00 SKWOSH Leon, Dean & Trent Wells Anthony Darmanin 9 54kg
15e 677×4966 SEBRING STAR Graeme Mcculloch   7 58.5kg  

Race 2 - 13:33 Simons Design Centre Maiden (1350 METRES)

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Race 2 – Simons Design Centre Maiden (1350 METRES)

Looking to He’s Tough Enough and the emergency Ballistic Lass as most likely to take up the running. Rosover, Irish Jeff, Phar Word and Words In Motion are all likely to race forward but the pressure up front shouldn’t be much more than average.

Phar Word (8) looks ready for this trip now after two solid runs at this track this prep. Looked to get out sprinted last time when he handed up the front but picked up the bit late and hit the line well. Ready to peak here and should get a nice run from a good draw. Looks hard to beat.

Rosover (7) was very good here first-up when 3rd behind Mosh Opera before racing forward last time and battling away behind Belrock Boy. Also looks suited by the slightly longer trip and should land in a great spot from her inside gate. Gets in light with Voorham’s claim and looks to have a great each-way chance again.

Om Nom (6) continues to race consistently and handled the drop back to this trip last time with a strong 2nd behind Kamikaze Force, beating home subsequent winner Belrock Boy in the process. All her runs over this course have been very solid but her racing style is clearly her biggest hinderance. Needs luck in running but if she gets it she will be right in the finish again.

Shivida (5) was very good fresh last time when he rattled home into 2nd behind Belrock Boy. Up to this trip looks ideal but drawn badly and will have to go back as he usually does. That makes him vulnerable to the on-pacers controlling the race but if McCoull can give him an economical run back in the field he can run home into the finish.

Moorcroft (4) appreciated getting to this trip second-up last time and ran an improved race behind Kamikaze Force. Draws well again so expect him to get a soft run in behind the speed and being lightly raced he is open to further improvement. Might need another one but was only beaten a few lengths last time and a better run again wouldn’t surprise.

Next best Irish Jeff (3) (can roll forward and make his own luck so has at least place claims) and a watch on emergency Ballistic Lass (13) (first run for Gaffney after racing in Victoria for Ellerton & Zahra, has shown enough there to say she will be competitive if she gets a start).

Verdict: Phar Word (8) looks suited up in distance and gets his chance here to break through.

STAKING STRATEGY: 5 units to win on Phar Word (8).

No Last 10 Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight Staking Strategy Colin’s Top 4
1 24975644×7 AKBAR JAY Peter Luttrell Troy Baker 13 58.5kg
2 64 HE’S TOUGH ENOUGH Barry Campbell Bulent Muhcu 1 58.5kg  
3 007×959025 IRISH JEFF Graeme Mcculloch Ismail Toker (late alt) 5 58.5kg
4 54 MOORCROFT Barry Campbell Jason Maskiell 4 58.5kg
5 02655256×2 SHIVIDA Peter Luttrell Brendon McCoull 14 58.5kg
6 0x60344242 OM NOM Adam Trinder Chris Graham 9 56.5kg  
7 x804269x34 ROSOVER Barry Campbell Teagan Voorham 3 56.5kg  
8 73×23 PHAR WORD Adam Trinder Anthony Darmanin 6 56kg  5 WIN  
9 0 ANOTHER FRENCH Adam Trinder Sigrid Carr 10 54kg
10 0x FASTNET VIRTUE Mark Ganderton   7 54kg  
11e 82278405×9 HIGHLY LEVERAGED Angela Brakey Sherry Barr 8 58.5kg
12e 738×8 WORDS IN MOTION Gary White Shuji Amano 12 56kg    
13e 4×500 BALLISTIC LASS Leanne Gaffney Bulent Muhcu 11 56.5kg    
14e 8x98x89 THE GOLDEN JET Gary White   2 56kg    

Race 3 - 14:08 Tasracing.com.au Class 1 Hcp (1000 METRES)

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Race 3 –  Tasracing.com.au Class 1 Hcp (1000 METRES)

Lonhwan and Nordic Thunder look like coming across from their wide draws to take up the running, with Gee Gees Cricket, Gucci Guccimo and Hint Of Moonlight capable of kicking up from inside draws if desired.

Lonhwan (3) had been trialling quite nicely before resuming last time in Open company. Was well beaten behind I’m Wesley but was far from disgraced, and showed excellent early speed which should serve him well here over the shorter trip. In well with Graham’s claim and ran well in Hobart over 1000m last prep in this grade. Looks a top chance in a much more suitable race.

Nordic Thunder (5) was well backed first-up and did the job nicely despite racing wide throughout here over 900m. Slightly longer trip shouldn’t be an issue and he may get a good cart across from the wide draw following Lonhwan. Looks to have talent and while this is clearly harder he should get every chance to win again.

Gucci Guccimo (7) has run well at her past couple over longer trips, where she has been able to take up a forward position and work to the line. Looked an absolute 1000m type early in her career so expect the drop back to this trip should suit and this looks a little easier than what she has been contesting. Well drawn so should get a good run and has each-way claims.

Gee Gees Cricket (6) broke his maiden here two starts ago over 900m before running a reasonable 4th last time behind Steel Dan in fast time. Barrier 1 looks an advantage as he should get the box seat just behind the leaders and he has a genuine each-way hope on that basis.

Purple Rider (1) is ideally better suited over a bit further but turns up here fresh with the blinkers back on for the short trip. First Tasmanian run was over this course and made good ground at the finish but was well beaten by Kyogle Son. Likely to get well back again and might find a couple of these too sharp but is definitely capable of running home into at least a place.

Next best Hellmuth (4) (had no luck resuming and best form isn’t bad for a race like this so could improve into a place).

Verdict: Lonhwan (3) will appreciate a much easier assignment this time around and should be hard to run down. Nordic Thunder (5) appeals as the major danger.

STAKING STRATEGY: 4 units to win on Lonhwan (3).

No Last 10 Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight Staking Strategy Colin’s Top 4
1 9734564231 PURPLE RIDER Cameron Thompson Hayley McCarthy 6 59kg
2 19x8x360x6 SNOWING SUN Rowan Hamer Jason Maskiell 2 58kg  
3 76160x40x5 LONHWAN Rowan Hamer Chris Graham 8 57.5kg  4 WIN
4 36631400×0 HELLMUTH Graeme Mcculloch Teagan Voorham , (late alt) 7 57kg
5 4×1 NORDIC THUNDER Adam Trinder Anthony Darmanin 9 57kg  
6 9×85214 GEE GEES CRICKET Leon, Dean & Trent Wells Sigrid Carr 1 56.5kg  
7 3x13x9532 GUCCI GUCCIMO Leon, Dean & Trent Wells Shuji Amano 3 56.5kg
8 6980331 MOSH OPERA Leon, Dean & Trent Wells Daniel Ganderton 5 56.5kg  
9 6468874188 HINT OF MOONLIGHT Liandra Gray Bulent Muhcu 4 56kg

Race 4 - 14:43 Dannebrog Restaurant Benchmark 62 Hcp (1150 METRES)

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Race 4 – Dannebrog Restaurant Benchmark 62 Hcp (1150 METRES)

A stack of speed here with a big field set to do battle. Kyogle Son, Ariconte, Meteor Strike and possibly the newcomer Auro are all genuine leaders so expect the tempo to be quick early. The majority of the field like to race in the front half so the pressure should be there as they look for positions, possibly resulting in a very fast pace throughout.

Kyogle Son (1) made it four in a row last start with a typically brave effort in front in BM68 grade here over 1000m. Stepping up to this trip is no concern having won twice over this course previously and he isn’t too badly treated after Voorham’s claim. While there looks plenty of pressure in this he is drawn to lead again and wants to win. The weight is an ask in a high pressure race but if he holds the lead he can win again.

Charlemagne’s Girl (11) has been very good in both runs this prep, finishing well for 2nd behind Nielson first-up before running home strongly into 2nd last time behind Axion. Gets back in her races so should appreciate the likely fast tempo and has shown she is capable of running home strongly on this surface. Will need luck in running but latest run is good enough for this.

Ariconte (3) continues to race in great heart and only faltered the last bit last time when leading in a high pressure race similar to this. Doubt he can find the front this time with Kyogle Son drawn inside him but has a high cruising speed and ran well first-up when forced to race outside Happy Halloween. In very solid form and looks one of the better each-way chances in the race again.

Episodes (6) ran well here fresh when a narrow 3rd behind Ariconte before being caught wide last start and failing. That run can be forgiven and he should get a much nicer run here smothered away on the inside from gate 1. Could be the one just behind them to flash late if the leaders have done too much work and has a definite winning hope.

Gee Gees Style (5) ran a close 2nd here behind Ariconte two starts ago before finishing just behind that horse again last time when 5th behind Axion. Draws inside so should get every chance near the speed and his form lines tie in well enough with all the major chances here. Shouldn’t be too far away but hasn’t won for a long time so prefer on a place basis.

Next best Vengeance Of Fury (2) (late scratching when meant to resume here and has trialled well since so should be nice and fit but barrier makes it difficult) and Gee Gees Blondie (4) (well up to this grade but also drawn terribly).

Verdict: In a high pressure race Kyogle Son (1) will be hard to run down again, but maybe Charlemagne’s Girl (11) and Episodes (6) present value coming from off the speed.

STAKING STRATEGY: 1 unit to win on Episodes (6) and Charlemagne’s Girl (11).

 

No Last 10 Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight Staking Strategy Colin’s Top 4
1 2468×41111 KYOGLE SON Adam Trinder Teagan Voorham 4 63kg  
2 21483x334x VENGEANCE OF FURY Paul Hill Hayley McCarthy 11 61.5kg  
3 551×552114 ARICONTE Adam Trinder Chris Graham 6 61kg
4 37×4122838 GEE GEES BLONDIE Leon, Dean & Trent Wells Sherry Barr 12 60kg  
5 8742858925 GEE GEES STYLE Leon, Dean & Trent Wells Troy Baker 2 60kg
6 16x9658x30 EPISODES Mark Ganderton Daniel Ganderton 1 59.5kg  1 WIN
7 35334451×9 SCOUTING AROUND Barry Campbell Sigrid Carr 5 59kg
8 x0117x7786 JERRAZZ Leanne Gaffney Jason Maskiell 8 58.5kg
9 2x9x4521x4 METEOR STRIKE Mark Ganderton Brendon McCoull 9 58.5kg  
10 x4670x15x3 RADIOACTIVE Peter Luttrell Shuji Amano 3 58kg
11 1652446×22 CHARLEMAGNE’S GIRL Peter Luttrell Ismail Toker 10 56.5kg  1 WIN  
12 2788040854 REARVIEW Cameron Thompson Bulent Muhcu 14 55.5kg
13 x5964x0761 AURO Cameron Thompson Anthony Darmanin 13 54.5kg
14 0x15669056 ANYWAYS ROSIE Cameron Thompson 7 54kg

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Race 5 - 15:18 DRC Centenary Cup Benchmark 72 Hcp (1350 METRES)

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Race 5 – DRC Centenary Cup Benchmark 72 Hcp (1350 METRES)

Smaller field but many of these can roll forward. Underplay may look to get across from his wide gate, while Wanaea, Willby Rules, Kanji and Gallow Gate all like to settle near the lead. Expecting at least a genuine tempo on that basis.

Willby Rules (2) is racing through his grades in excellent form this preparation, having won his past 3 starts including his last couple over this course. Continues to run good time and has the speed to put himself into a forward position, which can help him overcome his awkward draw here. Carries weight well and this doesn’t look much harder than his last couple. Looks top pick to win again.

Underplay (1) comes through racing in open class this prep before being a little disappointing last time when dropping back to this grade. That race was run in fast time however so he may benefit with that run over this trip under his belt and he has a win over this course in fast time last prep to his credit. Should be able to get across from the wide draw and looks one of the better chances again.

King’s Spirit (4) continues to race consistently well at this course but with his racing pattern he keeps finding one or two better. Ran a close 2nd over 1000m two starts back before finding I’m Wesley too sharp last time. Hasn’t got out to this distance much in his career but ran a solid 3rd behind Lord Farquaad over this course earlier this prep. Expect he will be somewhere in the money again.

Gallow Gate (8) ran arguably the best race of his prep last start over this course when 2nd behind Tammany Hall in fast time. Draws ideally here to trail the leaders and this does look his pet trip. Doesn’t win often and finds a reasonably strong race but last start was good enough to suggest he can at least find a place with the right run.

Tara’s Gem (6) ran very well over this course four weeks ago when a narrow 3rd behind Willby Rules, which clearly holds up alright for this. The break between runs should suit her to stay at this trip and she gets in very light with Voorham’s claim. Her racing style makes it hard but she likes this track and has the ability to be a knockout chance with the right run.

Next best Wanaea (5) (needs to improve on her past couple but has blinkers on and capable on her best form).

Verdict: Willby Rules (2) is racing in excellent form and looks top pick again in what is a relatively even race.

STAKING STRATEGY: 3 units to win on Willby Rules (2).

No Last 10 Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight Staking Strategy Colin’s Top 4
1 07428×1454 UNDERPLAY David A Miller Chris Graham 8 59kg
2 1x707x2111 WILLBY RULES Nigel Schuuring Jason Maskiell 6 59kg  3 WIN  
3 166x29290x KANJI Kaye Milne Ismail Toker 1 58.5kg
4 6×23333323 KING’S SPIRIT Liandra Gray Bulent Muhcu 5 57.5kg  
5 x7120x0276 WANAEA Mark Ganderton Daniel Ganderton 3 55.5kg
6 6x1047x683 TARA’S GEM Graeme Mcculloch Teagan Voorham , (late alt) 7 54kg  
7 16732367×7 GWEMRAE Barry Campbell Anthony Darmanin 4 54kg
8 75×9624562 GALLOW GATE John Blacker Sigrid Carr 2 54kg  

Race 6 - 15:53 Luxbet Class 2 Hcp (1350 METRES)

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Race 6 – Luxbet Class 2 Hcp (1350 METRES)

Ain’t The Whisky looks set to dictate from the front again here. Lyndspur can work across from out wide while any of Khatun, Manna Trust, Belrock Boy and Greenmount Lass can settle just behind the speed. Those in first few should get good runs.

Khatun (1) has been racing well over this course in harder benchmark company behind Willby Rules so should appreciate the drop in grade here. Has plenty of weight but placed with a similar impost earlier this prep behind Kyogle Son so she can handle it. From a good draw she can settle just off the speed and should be hard to hold out at the finish.

Ain’t The Whisky (8) is thriving over this course, following a strong 2nd behind Lyndspur when chasing a fast tempo with a dominant all the way win here in C1 grade last time. Ran reasonable time there and could get a comfortable time of it in front again here. This is a little harder but looks set to give a big sight in front again and appeals as a strong each-way chance.

Greenmount Lass (5) improved sharply over this course second-up to cause a boilover win at cricket score odds in C1 grade last time. The time there was very solid so there was merit to the win and she showed improved early speed which may help her settle in a forward position again here. The blinkers now go on for the first time which may help even further so if you can take her last win on face value she should be very competitive again.

Real Messi (4) has his first start for Liandra Gray after racing in Victoria predominantly with Darren Weir. First-up without a trial here but all his form is over longer distances so that may suit fresh. Has been competitive at Sandown and in reasonable benchmark company and Maskiell is a positive booking. Hard to line him up so watch the market and any positive support should be respected.

Belrock Boy (3) broke through for his maiden win here last time over 1150m but now jumps a couple of grades in what is a tough ask. Previous run over this trip was full of merit after making his move wide on the track and he looks to be steadily improving at each outing. Will need to improve to win this but from a good gate with no weight he has place claims.

Next best Miss Bluegrass (7) (drops back from strong 1880m win, will get back and doubt she will be suited by the tempo but can run on at the finish).

Verdict: Khatun (1) is the class runner of the field but Ain’t The Whisky (8) has hit a purple patch of form and will be hard to run down with a good run in front.

STAKING STRATEGY: 2 units each way on Ain’t The Whisky (8).

No Last 10 Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight Staking Strategy Colin’s Top 4
1 603×431243 KHATUN Adam Trinder Bulent Muhcu 5 59kg  
2 x1395720x1 STEEL DAN Adam Trinder Sigrid Carr 4 59kg    
3 068×8431 BELROCK BOY Nigel Schuuring Teagan Voorham 2 58kg  
4 48x524808x REAL MESSI Liandra Gray Jason Maskiell 7 58kg  
5 41x00x01 GREENMOUNT LASS Kaye Milne Ismail Toker 6 57kg
6 x785598x0x MANNA TRUST Shirley Berger Hayley McCarthy 3 56.5kg
7 7×83539421 MISS BLUEGRASS John Blacker Chris Graham 1 56.5kg
8 400×602621 AIN’T THE WHISKY Mark Ganderton Anthony Darmanin 8 56kg  2 UNIT  
9 00x00x9917 LYNDSPUR Barry Baker Shuji Amano 9 56kg

 

Race 7 - 16:28 Pedro's Restaurant Benchmark 62 Hcp (1880 METRES)

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Race 7 – Pedro’s Restaurant Benchmark 62 Hcp (1880 METRES)

Dalehill should get a pretty comfortable lead here with Into The Night capable of sitting up 2nd like last time. The rest of these generally settle just off the speed at best so the leaders may get their chance to dictate.

Into The Night (2) was a very strong winner here over the mile last start after a positive ride by Maskiell. Goes to this trip for the first time but looks ready for it based on the strength of his last win and looks set to land in a good spot near the lead again. Stays in the same grade and a repeat of his last effort will go very close to winning again.

Dalehill (8) has run well at her past couple of starts when allowed to roll in front, placing 2nd on both occasions in this grade. Gets to this trip for the first time this prep after a number of mile runs so ready for it, and finished in the first two at both tries over this course in the past. Looks set to find the front comfortably again and stays down in the weights. In with a chance once again.

Robbo The Bold (1) makes the trip over from Victoria where he has been racing exclusively on synthetic tracks. Form in BM58 grade has been very strong, with the higher grades just finding him out to some degree. Tends to settle back so will need a good ride from Voorham but had very good form at this track this time last year and is right up to this.

Valerius (3) has been racing well without luck in C1 grade over 1350m when having to make his run from back in the field. Goes sharply now to 1880m which is some concern but with a number of 1350m runs under his belt he is probably fit enough for it. Races like he wants the extra trip and this doesn’t look too much harder than what he has been contesting. A bit unknown how he will handle the step up but has talent and it might bring out the best of him. Definite chance.

Hushama (5) ran well here last time when 3rd behind Into The Night and Dalehill after making her run from last. The rise in trip looks suitable and she doesn’t have to settle so far back from a better draw this time. Both wins were on heavy ground earlier in her career so she hasn’t won for a long time but on her last run she may run into a place.

Next best Toakio Tower (7) (won well with all the favours two starts back before plain run last time, unlikely to get gun run from wider draw this time so prefer on a place basis).

Verdict: Into The Night (2) and Dalehill (8) can control the race here and may prove very hard to run down.

STAKING STRATEGY: 3 units to win on Into The Night (2) and 1 unit to win on Dalehill.

 

No Last 10 Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight Staking Strategy Colin’s Top 4
1 2511857315 ROBBO THE BOLD Kelvin Southey Teagan Voorham 6 63kg  
2 1940×74931 INTO THE NIGHT Graeme Mcculloch Jason Maskiell (late alt) 5 58.5kg  3 WIN
3 5309×31323 VALERIUS Adam Trinder Daniel Ganderton 1 58kg  
4 48×9463161 VIVRE STAR Rowan Hamer Anthony Darmanin 8 58kg
5 30×5764303 HUSHAMA Angela Brakey Sigrid Carr 4 57kg  
6 7139386×85 KOMPRESSOR Adam Trinder Chris Graham 3 57kg  
7 4573944718 TOAKIO TOWER (NZ) Paul Hill Hayley McCarthy 7 55.5kg  
8 5209747622 DALEHILL Rowan Hamer Ismail Toker 2 54.5kg  1 WIN