Meeting Dashboard – Hobart, Sunday 23 April

21 / 04 / 2017

Peter Staples’ Top 4 tips are indicated by red stars with four being his top pick and four gold stars the best bet of the meeting. Find these under ‘Stapes’ Top 4′:

 = top pick of the race

 = Best Bet of the meeting: Race 3 # 12 GEEGEE BLACKPRINCE

Tristan Heffernan’s Staking Strategy provides suggested bets for all thoroughbred meetings. The suggested bets are in units, so punters can decide the cost of a unit to suit their budget (e.g.  1 unit = $1). Find these under the heading ‘Staking Strategy’.

Race 1 - 11:20AM Carlton Draught Benchmark72 Hcp (1400 METRES)

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Racing on Sunday is in Hobart with a big 9 race program featuring a few Autumn features for the 2yos, 3yos and older gallopers. The rail goes back to the True position and the track is rated a Good 4 on Saturday, although with some showers forecast that may be a little worse come race time. The amount of rain and pattern will be very important to monitor as the day goes on.

Race 1 – 11:20AM Carlton Draught Benchmark72 Hcp (1400 METRES)

Speed should be good here with Dangerpet and This Cat Rocks likely to take up the running with Harvey Bay on their hammer. The rest of the field prefer to settle back however so while the pace should be genuine there looks little pressure on the on-pacers and they may control the race.

Harvey Bay (2) is racing in good form having won 2 of his past 3 starts and not being beaten more than a length in his past 6 runs. Loves this distance range and his only start on this track was a narrow 2nd over this course on Hobart Cup day in this grade. Won in this grade last start and only goes up a kilo with Graham’s claim, who won on him 3 starts back. Looks set to get a great run and appeals as top pick again.

Dangerpet (5) is a stablemate of Harvey Bay who finished 4th behind him last start. Has been racing reasonably well in this grade without managing to win this prep. His best runs this prep have been at this distance and he may be suited if This Cat Rocks runs along in front of him. Needs to find a length or two to turn tables on the favourite but should get every possible chance in the run and rates as a danger.

Livermore (4) is a horse with plenty of ability who always races well fresh. First-up last time in he flashed home to win a C3 1200m in Launceston before going on to get within 4.4L of Admiral at WFA over this trip. Has placed both runs over this course and may be suited by the small field allowing him to settle a bit closer. Has a trial under his belt so should be just about ready to go and Luttrell rode him to a close-up 4th at his only ride. Can win.

Accounted Four (1) also resumes here after a very good preparation where he won 4 in a row over 2100m. Comes here without a trial and tends to take a run but the 1400m is suitable fresh if he is ready to go. Staying form is very good but he hasn’t placed below a mile. Definitely has the ability if ready but inclined to think he will need this.

Next best This Cat Rocks (3) (didn’t do much first-up but this is easier, Pires jumps on and he may roll to the front so wary of sharp improvement) and Ash For Cash (6) (Launceston specialist who is ticking over alright but not sure she is suited by a small field and lack of pressure up front).

Verdict: Harvey Bay (2) looks very well placed again and will be hard to beat. The best of Livermore (4) is more than good enough here and he may be worth saving on.

STAKING STRATEGY: 3 units to win on Harvey Bay (2) and 1 unit to win on Livermore (4).

No Last 10 Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight Staking Strategy Stapes’ Top 4
1 60x511110x ACCOUNTED FOUR Scott Brunton Ms Stephanie Thornton 1 60.5kg
2 x889223131 HARVEY BAY Adam Trinder Chris Graham 4 60.5kg  3 WIN
3 22452639×7 THIS CAT ROCKS Scott Brunton David Pires 3 57.5kg
4 290x14698x LIVERMORE Brendan Mcshane Craig Luttrell 5 57kg  1 WIN
5 10×0826354 DANGERPET Adam Trinder Anthony Darmanin 2 56kg
6 23263×6475 ASH FOR CASH Barry Goodrick Ms Hayley McCarthy 6 55kg
7 5585250×83 LAZY DEMOCRACY Andrew Moore Mehmet Ulucinar 7 54kg

 

Race 2 - 11:55AM Bennett’s Petroleum Maiden (1200 METRES)

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Race 2 – 11:55AM Bennett’s Petroleum Maiden (1200 METRES)

Expect good speed here with Havadable and Glory Blaze liking to go forward and Pires may surge forward on West On Broadway from out wide. A few others can be near the lead including Argillite, Miss Karrats, Cousin White Foot and Nahla. Every runner should get their chance.

West On Broadway (5) was very good first-up when a narrow 2nd behind Son Of A Fling. Has shown plenty of ability in his short career so far and has stable rider Pires take the reins this time. Comes up with a tricky draw but he has the speed to come across and take over if desired. 1200m second-up looks perfect and he should take plenty of beating.

Argillite (7) is a lightly raced Elvstroem mare who has shown her fair share of ability. Resumes with a comfortable trial win under her belt. Form from her debut run is reasonably strong and she was spelled after her flat run second-up at 1400m. Expect her to sit just behind the speed here for McCoull and she should be strong late to be a major danger to the favourite.

Glory Blaze (2) has run a couple of game placings so far this prep and has the speed to be right on the speed again. Both runs this prep have been in slower races with doubts over the form but he should be in the right spot again having every chance. Staying at 1200m for his third run is a concern as he looks ready for a bit longer but he should be around the mark again.

Nahla (10) trialled nicely behind Argillite before running a solid race first-up when a well beaten 3rd behind Son Of A Fling and West On Broadway. Has the blinkers go on here for the first time which should help her take advantage of a good barrier. Comes in with the right form lines so she has each-way claims with the blinkers possibly making the necessary improvement to win if the breaks go her way in running.

Cousin White Foot (8) resumes here without a trial over a distance shorter than she has ever contested previously. Has run some solid races over 1400m so 1200m is suitable fresh and she should be able to settle somewhere near the front. Stablemate of the favourite and may want this run to get her ready for something longer but has place claims at a minimum.

Next best One Before You Go (3) (has had a freshen since training off a little, first-up run over this trip was good and he isn’t hopeless at longer odds).

Verdict: This does look West On Broadway’s (5) race with luck from the wide gate. Argillite (7) looks the one who may pick him off if he has to do too much work. Happy to work around those two runners as they have the most scope in this.

STAKING STRATEGY: 5 units to win on West On Broadway (5) and 1 unit to win on Argillite (7).

No Last 10 Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight Staking Strategy Stapes’ Top 4
1 0x6 BERBENT Paul Hill Ms Hayley McCarthy 12 58.5kg
2 332523×23 GLORY BLAZE Angela Brakey Anthony Darmanin 4 58.5kg  
3 094×8735 ONE BEFORE YOU GO Stephen Lockhart Chris Graham 5 58kg
4 70×90 SARMADY Marion Dalco Ismail Toker 7 58kg
5 454×2 WEST ON BROADWAY Scott Brunton David Pires 11 58kg  5 WIN  
6 8×6 ZIPPONET Tammy Mollross Nathan Punch 10 58kg
7 45x ARGILLITE Chris Crook & Imogen Miller Brendon McCoull 9 56.5kg  1 WIN
8 822248x COUSIN WHITE FOOT Scott Brunton Ms Stephanie Thornton 6 56.5kg  
9 86×8 HAVADABLE Royston Carr Ms Sigrid Carr 2 56.5kg
10 79×3 NAHLA Royston Carr Troy Baker 3 56.5kg
11 0x080x5 OUR LITTLE SWAMP Paul Jones Ms Shiralee Maher 1 56.5kg
12 86 MISS CHAT A LOT Leon Laskey Ms Sherry Barr 8 56kg
13 6 MISS KARRATS Stuart Gandy Ms Georgie Catania 13 56kg  

Race 3 - 12:35PM Give Me 5 for Kids Maiden (1400 METRES)

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Race 3 – 12:35PM Give Me 5 for Kids Maiden (1400 METRES)

No genuine leader engaged here but looks a few on-pacers and the big field should result in a solid tempo. Expect the lead to be contested by the likes of Pink Day, Tipperary Mary, West Burton, Blushing Pink or the emergency Cloudy Bay but the opportunity is there for something else to push forward if they begin well. On-pacers maybe slightly advantaged.

Striking Prospect (6) is a very nicely bred 3yo who has looked a promising horse since the application of blinkers two starts ago. Still has some issues early which result in him settling near the rear of the field but has finished powerfully over this trip at his past couple. Looks ready for a mile so staying at this trip is a concern but drawing a wide barrier should help him get out and going when he needs to. Has a bit of scope which is more than you can say for most of these so rates as a leading chance.

Geegee Blackprince (12) is a promising 2yo who ran 3rd over this course last time, finishing just behind Striking Prospect. Was only second-up there jumping up from 1100m so should be much fitter this time around and has the application of winkers for the first time here. Well drawn and may be able to settle closer in this field if he begins well. Capable of turning the tables on Striking Prospect here for those reasons so rates highly.

Lovely Lady (13) was very good at her first Tasmanian run before being sent out a firm favourite in Launceston but failing to finish off. Looks suited up to 1400m and has the services of Brendon McCoull for the first time. Drawn ideally to do no work in the run and comes back to her home track this time. Genuine chance to bounce back here and may go around over the odds as a solid each-way chance.

Cincha (1) has had a month between runs after finishing midfield over the mile but has been kept right up to the mark with two trials, including one over 1400m. Last run here on his home track was a good 2nd behind Miss Two Pairs over 1400m. A repeat of that can have him in the finish here but think he meets a few above-average maiden performers here so appeals more on a place basis.

Hirvonen (2) resumed from a long spell for new trainer John Luttrell in very strong fashion, charging home from back in the field to finish 2nd and running good time in the process. Gets out to 1400m now which looks suitable and he has placed over this course a couple of times in the past. This looks harder than what he contested last time and he is still winless from 18 starts but his last run is good enough to run home into the finish here.

Next best Epidexios (5) (ran well fresh before failing last time as favourite, rise in trip and blinkers off may see an improved run), Arving (4) (improved effort first-up behind a smart one but 1100m to 1400m second-up looks a task) and Tipperary Mary (14) (thereabouts fresh, Pires sticks and can get a good run on speed).

Verdict: Think one of the top 3 picks will win here. Leaning to Geegee Blackprince (12) with the 1400m run now under his belt and the winkers on, as opposed to Striking Prospect (6) who may now want 1600m and probably starts shorter in the betting. Both are very strong chances however, and Lovely Lady (13) should be forgiven for her last run.

STAKING STRATEGY: 3 units each-way on Geegee Blackprince (12).

No Last 10 Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight Staking Strategy Stapes’ Top 4
1 75×4672286 CINCHA Royston Carr Troy Baker 10 58.5kg
2 22699366×2 HIRVONEN John Luttrell Craig Luttrell 2 58.5kg  
3 4x4536x548 MY KINGDOM Rhonda Hall Ms Stephanie Thornton 9 58.5kg
4 9×3 ARVING Paul Hill Ms Hayley McCarthy 8 58kg
5 0x35 EPIDEXIOS Brendan Mcshane Nathan Punch 14 58kg
6 0042 STRIKING PROSPECT Gary White Daniel Ganderton 11 58kg  
7 45x00x WEST BURTON Stuart Gandy Ms Georgie Catania 5 58kg
8 64640×4640 BLUSHING PINK John Luttrell Ismail Toker 6 56.5kg
9 97390×598 FANCY DANZ Tammy Mollross Chris Graham 16 56.5kg
10 x50x295267 MISS CHE CHE Angela Watling Anthony Darmanin 15 56.5kg
11 6×674 PINK DAY Harriet Paul Ms Sherry Barr 1 56.5kg
12 7×23 GEEGEE BLACKPRINCE Stuart Gandy Ms Sigrid Carr 7 56kg  3 EACH WAY  
13 75×54426 LOVELY LADY Stuart Gandy Brendon McCoull 3 56kg
14 7×4 TIPPERARY MARY Tegan Keys David Pires 4 56kg  
15e 9777 CLOUDY BAY Rhonda Hall Ms Shiralee Maher 17 58.5kg
16e 70×90 SARMADY Marion Dalco   13 58kg
17e 4648249×2 SORTURO Kaye Milne Mehmet Ulucinar 12 56.5kg

 

Race 4 - 1:10PM Wolf Blass F&M Autumn Qlty (1200 METRES)

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Race 4 – 1:10PM Wolf Blass F&M Autumn Qlty (1200 METRES)

Small field but actually pretty good speed. Galeocerdo missed the start last time but if she jumps well she will ensure a fast tempo. Teriki also goes quick and Cyclone Jess has led at both her Tasmanian starts. This leaves Step The Pedal sitting behind them, with Pires showing last time he is capable of being aggressive enough to keep her in touch early.

Step The Pedal (2) relished the wet ground last time to win convincingly over 1100m, beating Teriki. Step up to 1200m suits her especially well and she looks like getting a great run behind a good tempo. Don’t expect the track to be as soft this time around but showed in the Vamos she is still capable on top of the ground. If Pires can keep her in touch early she can be too strong again for them late.

Teriki (3) ran well last time from outside the leader but found Step The Pedal too strong late. Meets her a couple of kilos better this time around and may appreciate a firmer surface. Looks like getting a nice drop on the leaders and appeals as the main danger if Step The Pedal loses touch with them in the run.

Galeocerdo (4) lost all chance last time at the start when she reared and came out last but her late sectionals were actually very strong. That points to her going well enough to be competitive here if she returns to her usual front-running role and her last two runs have come with Carr in the saddle. Capable at 1200m but will want the inside to be holding up in this grade. If suited by the pattern she is a knockout chance but otherwise she may find the top two a bit good for her.

Cyclone Jess (6) comes back from 1400m where she set a strong tempo and was found wanting late. Game win first-up for the stable in Launceston over 1200m but was advantaged by the pattern there. Has the speed to be in the race but think this class will test.

Verdict: Step The Pedal (2) can win again here, but conceding genuine chances to Teriki (3) and Galeocerdo (4) if fence is holding up ok so don’t want to be diving into a really short quote.

STAKING STRATEGY: 4 units to win on Step The Pedal (2).

No Last 10 Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight Staking Strategy Stapes’ Top 4
1 x41121111x MY PAIGE THREE Tegan Keys Troy Baker 1 59kg
2 x433463411 STEP THE PEDAL Scott Brunton David Pires 6 58kg  4 WIN
3 2211433502 TERIKI Barry Campbell Brendon McCoull 3 56kg
4 1161462596 GALEOCERDO Stuart Gandy Sigrid Carr 4 54kg
5 8x52x2x116 JO ANCONI Scott Brunton Georgie Catania 2 54kg
6 74768×6015 CYCLONE JESS Scott Brunton Stephanie Thornton 5 54kg

 

Race 5 - 1:50PM Schweppes Autumn 2YO (1100 METRES)

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Race 5 – 1:50PM Schweppes Autumn 2YO (1100 METRES)

Gee Gees Queenie looks the leader here with Foreeva and Miss Smith capable of pushing forward to race near the lead. Gee Gee Lanett looks like getting a great sit just behind them and Geegee Rock’n’run might settle closer in the smaller field. Every runner looks like getting their chance.

Gee Gee Lanett (3) is a smart filly who returns to her own grade after running an excellent 3rd against the older mares a fortnight ago over this course. Had strung a couple of wins together prior to that which followed two good runs in Listed company. Has beaten home all of her main rivals here previously and raced wide when beaten home by Geegee Rock’n’run in the Gold Sovereign. Very consistent filly who looks top pick.

Geegee Rock’n’run (1) has had a short break since running home into 3rd in the Gold Sovereign at his 4th start, beating home Gee Gee Lanett in the process. That is obviously the strongest form line for this and both his runs with the winkers on have been strong. Will likely give these a start but will be strong late and is a logical danger to the favourite.

Foreeva (5) found the Gold Sovereign too hard before running a game 2nd behind Gee Gee Lanett here over 1000m. Went to Launceston and bolted in but was advantaged by the pattern on the night. Looks an improving filly but the top picks in this have had her measure previously so prefer her more on a place basis.

Gee Gees Queenie (4) was no match for Gee Gee Lanett two starts back in Launceston before finding C1 grade a little tough last time after being heavily backed. Has blinkers first time here and looks like getting a decent run in front. Has form around most of these including a narrow win over Foreeva but also prefer her as more of a place chance.

Next best Miss Smith (7) (not the worst first-up behind stablemate Uber Ed, Pires takes ride this time and can be improved with that run under her belt).

Verdict: Gee Gee Lanett (3) has the class and the fitness on her side and expect her to continue on her merry way here.

STAKING STRATEGY: 8 units to win on Gee Gee Lanett (3).

No Last 10 Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight Staking Strategy Stapes’ Top 4
1 4x413x GEEGEE ROCK’N’RUN Stuart Gandy Anthony Darmanin 1 57kg
2 4 IRON THRONE Chris Crook & Imogen Miller Brendon McCoull 3 57kg
3 2×34113 GEE GEE LANETT Stuart Gandy Sigrid Carr 2 55kg  8 WIN  
4 5221×25 GEE GEES QUEENIE Stuart Gandy Georgie Catania 4 55kg  
5 2821 FOREEVA Terence Evans Troy Baker 5 55kg  
6 27×2 GEE GEES CAN TELL Leon, Dean & Trent Wells Stephanie Thornton 6 55kg
7 5 MISS SMITH David Brunton David Pires 7 55kg  

 

Race 6 - 2:30PM Crown Lager Autumn 3YO (1100 METRES)

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Race 6 – 2:30PM Crown Lager Autumn 3YO (1100 METRES)

Many of these can race near the lead but maybe Son Of A Fling will take up the running. Gee Gee Double Dee, Savs Finale, Count Montagu, Weekend Whisky and Chillout will all be right there but all prefer to take a sit, with maybe Chillout forced to push on from his wide draw. Mulley’s Idol, Mariah’s Magic and Frog In A Pond can also be thereabouts so the pressure to find spots may result in a strong tempo.

Gee Gee Double Dee (9) is very well performed over this course, having won the Carbine Club Plate here over the carnival. Last couple of runs have been alright against older horses, with a second in BM82 grade followed by a close-up 4th against the open mares, both here over 1100m. Draws ideally to be able to take a sit just behind the speed which is how she looks to race best and the set weights suit. Rates as top pick if the ground remains firm but if the track is genuinely rain-affected that may dull her chances to a degree.

Chillout (1) has been freshened since a strong win here over 1400m when he was able to control the race from in front. Has never missed a top 2 finish from 5 starts over this trip, including 3 at this track. This season he has traded wins with Gee Gee Double Dee and has only missed a place once when things went against him in the 3yo Cup. Outside gate may be tricky if the fence hasn’t gone off but could turn into an advantage in that case. Suited at set weights and appeals as a leading hope.

Savs Finale (8) is a promising 3yo from the same mother as Hellova Street and Streetwise Savoire who was heavily backed first-up when dominant in maiden grade. This is obviously many levels harder and he isn’t suited by the set weight conditions but Pires has elected to ride him over stablemate Angel Of The Abyss, who was competitive in this grade earlier in the season. Drawn perfectly in 4, he is the fresh horse on the scene and the stable took a similar path a few years ago with a horse called Pixelated. Definite each-way claims.

Count Montagu (2) comes here off a short break after running 2nd over 1400m against older horses. Previous runs in this grade were good – he ran a good 3rd in the Carbine Club behind Gee Gee Double Dee and Chillout before being beaten less than a length behind Chillout on Launceston Cup day. Has the right form lines for this grade but hasn’t managed a win against this bunch in a few tries. Will be around the mark again.

Mariah’s Magic (10) also has form around the major hopes here, running a close-up 3rd in the race won by Chillout on Launceston Cup day and running that horse to a half-length over 1400m three starts back. Last start she was a very impressive winner in C1 grade when she landed in front and if she can show better early speed again that may give her the improvement she needs to turn the tables on the main fancied. Has been up a long time but shows no signs of slowing down so she is another right in the mix.

Next best Mulley’s Idol (3) (4th behind Chillout Launceston Cup day when firm in betting and wide all the way suggests he is another with a chance here and has won at this track).

Verdict: Excellent race with many winning chances. Gee Gee Double Dee (9) will take some beating with a smother here at set weights, but also want to have something on Savs Finale (8) who is the fresh one on the scene.

STAKING STRATEGY: 4 units to win on Gee Gee Double Dee (9) and 2 units to win on Savs Finale (8).

 

No Last 10 Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight Staking Strategy Stapes’ Top 4
1 4×12272121 CHILLOUT Barry Campbell Brendon McCoull 11 57kg  
2 2×54814352 COUNT MONTAGU Terence Evans Troy Baker 7 57kg
3 7x6131224x MULLEY’S IDOL John Blacker Daniel Ganderton 1 57kg
4 293221 WEEKEND WHISKY Royston Carr Craig Luttrell 9 57kg  
5 64790221x GOODBYE LONESOME Royston Carr Georgie Catania 10 57kg
6 3x65x21 SON OF A FLING Tegan Keys Shuji Amano 6 57kg
7 13 FROG IN A POND Scott Brunton Anthony Darmanin 5 57kg
8 7×1 SAVS FINALE Scott Brunton David Pires 4 57kg  2 WIN  
9 x352512124 GEE GEE DOUBLE DEE Leon, Dean & Trent Wells Sigrid Carr 3 55kg  4 WIN
10 7470030221 MARIAH’S MAGIC John Blacker Stephanie Thornton 2 55kg  
11 76x31160x ANGEL OF THE ABYSS Scott Brunton Ismail Toker 8 55kg

Race 7 - 3:05PM Australian Racing Tours Class 2 Hcp (1200 METRES)

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Race 7 – 3:05PM Australian Racing Tours Class 2 Hcp (1200 METRES)

Good speed here through Mel Loves Vodka, Tough Missile and Chelsarli. A Choice Scotch, Owens, Greensborough and Millmount can all box seat which should result in plenty of pressure and those back in the field having their chance.

Qui Samer (9) has come back in excellent form this preparation with all three runs in Launceston being full of merit. First-up was good against the bias before rattling home behind Cuban Missile after finding trouble in the run. Last time he stepped up to 1420m and should have just about won when a narrow 2nd behind Millmount in this grade. Has only won 2 of 31 which is a major concern but looks suited by the tempo and if he holds his current form he appeals as an each-way chance in a very even race.

Millmount (1) has done little wrong since arriving in the state, putting together two wins and two 2nds in his 5 runs. His last couple have been over 1400m with his latest effort being a strong on-pace win in this grade. Not sure coming back to 1200m is what he wants at this stage of his prep and his barrier draw could be a major positive or negative depending on the track pattern. Expect him to be thereabouts again and can win with the right run.

Nissky (5) is a talented gelding who resumes here with a trial under his belt. Hasn’t won since his first two starts but is always running on in this grade and above. Has blinkers on for the first time here which might be the key to unlock his potential? Looks suited by a strong tempo and in well with Thornton’s claim. Had plenty of chances but his best rates as highly as any in this.

Owens (4) has been kept fresh for this since winning at this track in C1 grade over 1100m. Has been very good all preparation and 1200m looks ideal for him. Wide draw may be a bit tricky but with a lot of the speed drawn outside him he may slot into a nice spot just behind them. Will find this harder than last time but improving type who looks in the mix again.

A Choice Scotch (10) resumed from a spell with a game 2nd behind Mel Loves Vodka after being slow to begin. Looked smart early in her career but recent racing has all been on rain-affected ground which may not be suiting her. Goes up in grade here but Pires stays with her and she should get a lovely run from the good draw. If the track is firmer it may be what she needs to improve here and she has each-way claims on that basis.

Next best Greensborough (3) (proven in this grade and fitter for first-up run, McCoull goes on, prefer ground isn’t too wet) and Hushama (6) (resumes with two trials under her belt, has won both starts here and loves rain-affected ground so right in the mix if track cops more rain than expected)

Verdict: Extremely even race with many having good winning hopes. Forced to play, prefer to work around Nissky (5) with blinkers on and A Choice Scotch (10) on better ground but little confidence.

STAKING STRATEGY: 1 unit to win on Nissky (5) and A Choice Scotch (10).

 

No Last 10 Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight Staking Strategy Stapes’ Top 4
1 0x16221 MILLMOUNT Stephen Lockhart Troy Baker 12 59kg
2 2x1923143x ZATACLA John Blacker Daniel Ganderton 5 59kg
3 331x1833x6 GREENSBOROUGH Dylan Clark Brendon McCoull 11 58.5kg
4 37781241 OWENS Ken & Tanya Hanson Hayley McCarthy 10 58kg
5 65334x450x NISSKY Ian Hay Stephanie Thornton 6 57kg  1 WIN
6 36x116430x HUSHAMA Angela Brakey Chris Graham 1 56kg
7 3418×28316 ANSAAM Barry Goodrick Anthony Darmanin 9 55.5kg
8 1248218×08 LIFE’S QUEST Marion Dalco Craig Luttrell 3 55.5kg
9 735537×642 QUI SAMER Chris Crook & Imogen Miller Ismail Toker 8 55.5kg
10 221x40x2 A CHOICE SCOTCH Scott Brunton David Pires 2 55kg  1 WIN
11 08384815×3 CHELSARLI Paul Hill Sigrid Carr 13 54kg
12 2739351425 TOUGH MISSILE Ray Worbey Nathan Punch 7 54kg
13 644300×461 MEL LOVES VODKA John Hill Sherry Barr 4 54kg

 

Race 8 - 3:40PM Cascade Draught Autumn Open Hcp (1600 METRES)

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Race 8 – 3:40PM Cascade Draught Autumn Open Hcp (1600 METRES)

Cheryl’s Horse may get to control the race from the front here, with Geegees Goldengirl and Gladstone the other on-pacers but both are fresh from a break following Launceston Cup runs. Demons Run and Beaufort Lad can be thereabouts but this does look like a race which may suit those near the lead.

Cheryl’s Horse (3) is racing in very good form, with two big wins when able to lead at his past three runs either side of a game 2nd when not having things go his way in the run. Loves this 1600m trip and races very well here on his home track, including a win in this race last year. Gate 2 is a little worry if he is sluggish early as he can be but if Pires gets him out and rolling in front he is going to take plenty of running down. Looks hardest to beat.

Geegees Goldengirl (1) is a good mare fresh here at 1600m after running a game 6th in the Launceston Cup. Loves this track, having only missed a place once in 16 starts, which was her 4th in this year’s Hobart Cup. Running over a mile fresh is foreign territory for her but has only had 2 months since the Cup and was given a good hit out with a big 1400m trial win during the week. Has the winkers on and should get a good run just behind the speed for Carr so she looks one of the main dangers.

Beaufort Lad (4) was able to beat Cheryl’s Horse two starts back over the mile but was no match for him last time when he was able to dominate on a leader-biased track. Loves the mile and has run well here over 1200m so he’s not just a Launceston specialist. Comes up with an awkward draw in the small field and may be vulnerable to Cheryl’s Horse dominating from the front again but if there is pressure up front he is one who will be finishing hard late.

Gladstone (2) is another who comes here off a Launceston Cup run, finishing 7th there and not far behind Geegees Goldengirl. Races well at this track, including a Hobart Cup placing, and worth noting he placed first-up this prep over 1400m at Flemington. Has won a couple of times over the mile and with blinkers on he should roll forward into a good spot here. Has an each-way hope.

Demons Run (5) resumed last start over 1400m and ran an excellent 2nd behind Silver Bolt. Arguably should have won there with a clear run on straightening in one of his best runs this season. Has won second-up previously and likes this track. Might need a genuinely wet track to show up in this grade and Pires has gone with Cheryl’s Horse but if he goes on from his last run he can finish off into a place.

Next best King Manu (8) (not bad last time but think he needs it really wet to feature in this grade).

Verdict: Cheryl’s Horse (3) appeals with the fitness edge and the ability to control the race from the front.

STAKING STRATEGY: 6 units to win on Cheryl’s Horse.

No Last 10 Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight Staking Strategy Stapes’ Top 4
1 4x7475146x GEEGEES GOLDENGIRL Stuart Gandy Sigrid Carr 3 59kg  
2 8x3004537x GLADSTONE Scott Brunton Anthony Darmanin 7 56.5kg  
3 x795928121 CHERYL’S HORSE Scott Brunton David Pires 2 56kg  6 WIN  
4 5213310312 BEAUFORT LAD John Blacker Stephanie Thornton , (late alt) 9 54.5kg  
5 1x078408x2 DEMONS RUN Scott Brunton Ismail Toker 6 54kg
6 1342373335 HYPERBOLE Chris Crook & Imogen Miller Troy Baker 8 54kg
7 6221571193 BIG PEGG Scott Brunton Georgie Catania 4 54kg
8 2313331075 KING MANU (NZ) Tegan Keys Shuji Amano 5 54kg
9 0878632822 SMOKE ’N’ WHISKY John Blacker Mehmet Ulucinar (late alt) 1 54kg

Race 9 - 4:15PM Luxbet Class 3 Hcp (1600 METRES)

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Race 9 – 4:15PM Luxbet Class 3 Hcp (1600 METRES)

Streak On and Flash Missile should roll across from their wide gates here and control the race from the front. Appmat and Geegees Lillybet can take up a position as may Reann’s Diamond but the rest of these generally get back. The on-pacers look to get their chance here but out wider on the track may be the place to be late in the day.

Flash Missile (1) is racing in very good form, having strung together a couple of wins over the mile at Launceston at her past couple. Looks like getting a good run near the lead again although Streak On may set a reasonable tempo. The knocks on her are getting to 59kg as a 3yo filly and she has controlled the race in front in both wins on very slow tempos. Expect her to run well again but may come up under the odds.

Kompressor (2) ran 3rd last time behind Flash Missile when racing much handier to the speed but he couldn’t pick up the filly when she kicked away around the turn. McCoull sticks with him and he may be better suited back to his home track. Might have been a tad dour last time off a couple of 1400m trials so with a couple of weeks between runs he may be spot on now. Ran a very good 3rd over this course behind Speed Force over the carnival so his best is good enough to win this.

Cheers Chappy (4) has been racing well over shorter trips this prep before failing in an unsuitably-run race last time over 1400. Given a trial since which suits and he should be spot on for the mile now. Only run over this trip this prep was a reasonable effort when midfield behind White Turf in a race which was much stronger than this. In well with Thornton’s claim and can bounce back.

Streak On (9) has started to find a bit of form this prep with her recent 2nd behind Follow My Dust over this course pretty good form for this. Stays down in the weights and should get a similar run near the lead again. Has only won 3 from 44 starts so hard to have much confidence in her but has an each-way hope on her last run.

Must Be Love (10) was a narrow 3rd in an easier race over this course two starts back before being unsuited by the tempo last time over 1400m. Still managed to beat home Cheers Chappy comfortably there and seems to race much better at this track. Has also only won 3 from 44 and usually gives them a big start so hard horse to catch but she has a knockout chance.

Next best Geegees Lillybet (8) (last couple have been ok, no weight with Punch’s claim and can be on speed so minor claims).

Verdict: Hard race to finish the day. Enough against Flash Missile (1) to avoid likely short odds so prefer to play small around Kompressor (2) and Cheers Chappy (4).

STAKING STRATEGY: 1 unit to win on Kompressor (2) and Cheers Chappy (4).

No Last 10 Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight Staking Strategy Stapes’ Top 4
1 19×7669311 FLASH MISSILE Stuart Gandy Sigrid Carr 11 59kg  
2 5×04671393 KOMPRESSOR Charlie Goggin & Luella Meaburn Brendon McCoull 4 58kg  1 WIN
3 259×004152 WELCOME INVADER John Blacker Shuji Amano 8 58kg  
4 3×26634538 CHEERS CHAPPY Tammy Mollross Stephanie Thornton 3 57.5kg  1 WIN
5 61165890×6 APPMAT Brendan Mcshane Craig Luttrell 5 57kg  
6 514135×983 ISLAND TIGER Tammy Mollross Sherry Barr 7 55.5kg
7 5234217437 CENTAFLORAL John Luttrell Anthony Darmanin 1 54.5kg
8 6344158444 GEEGEES LILLYBET Rodney Seymour Nathan Punch 9 54.5kg
9 460×477852 STREAK ON Paul Maher Troy Baker 6 54.5kg  
10 15079×8736 MUST BE LOVE Peter Luttrell Ismail Toker 2 54kg
11 6×78006606 REANN’S DIAMOND Leon Laskey Mehmet Ulucinar 10 54kg